35
Essays on Infinite Lifespans
Aubrey de Grey
generations of therapies, without limit. Two decades is an
eternity in science, especially in well-funded science (which
life extension will certainly be at this time). Second-generation
therapies are thus virtually certain to arrive in time. Hence, as
soon as we reach the point of extending life expectancy by even
a couple of decades, we can be confident that most beneficia-
ries of such therapies will survive to benefit from subsequent
ones. Those peoples life expectancy will thus be indefinite,
even though they are still aging. The analogy with a projectile
propelled from the Earth at greater than escape velocity is not
perfect, but I find it evocative.
IMPROVING OUR LEAD-TIME
For the reasons surveyed above, I consider it appropriate to
regard the WOA as ending when first-generation SENS thera-
pies become widely available. Thus far, however, I have only
discussed specific, identifiable problems which are, necessar-
ily, unimaginatively similar to the targets of the first-generation
therapies. What about things we have not thought of?
I predict that this point will motivate starting as the WOA
nears its end a research project that will dwarf even the WOA
itself. Our unarguably limited ability to predict what aging
will throw at us next could, it would seem, only be addressed
reliably by clairvoyance. Or could it? Could we metaphori-
cally press the fast-forward button to discover what the future
holds? We are exceedingly fortunate that such an option is
indeed available.
Specifically, I predict that humanity will create and maintain
a very large colony of non-human primates of several different
species probably totaling tens of thousands of animals on
which to test novel life extension therapies. Primates have
three characteristics which, jointly, motivate this action: They